Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 6.057931 6.911053 7.852357 8.969837 10.262678 11.714182 13.471245
2025-05-25 4.840120 5.928783 7.225977 8.892282 10.985589 13.540736 16.915035
2025-06-01 4.061587 5.238027 6.720507 8.738695 11.434493 14.939017 19.885060
2025-06-08 3.496264 4.698871 6.284136 8.546469 11.724132 16.075842 22.568039
2025-06-15 3.247699 4.528087 6.285184 8.901514 12.747802 18.271918 26.946140
2025-06-22 2.968847 4.273148 6.126794 8.991419 13.375343 19.943219 30.739851
2025-06-29 2.697632 3.993935 5.894450 8.930862 13.748795 21.248365 34.102904
2025-07-06 2.456936 3.731883 5.654742 8.821728 14.016676 22.394171 37.323277
2025-07-13 2.340021 3.644861 5.668463 9.103329 14.927287 24.657591 42.690996
2025-07-20 2.219327 3.538314 5.637484 9.302159 15.711494 26.782987 48.079421
2025-07-27 2.139932 3.489550 5.692113 9.644125 16.769291 29.488351 54.872461
2025-08-03 1.967586 3.270494 5.442741 9.432660 16.816158 30.374826 58.313007
2025-08-10 1.824937 3.092155 5.250744 9.310320 17.023740 31.602182 62.639576
2025-08-17 1.699606 2.933305 5.078620 9.206241 17.252224 32.891539 67.269529
2025-08-24 1.578302 2.771313 4.886433 9.044248 17.347514 33.922158 71.485140
2025-08-31 1.463599 2.611902 4.685231 8.844432 17.343284 34.743859 75.347691
2025-09-07 1.435316 2.608864 4.772070 9.212972 18.528566 38.164252 85.554145
2025-09-14 1.373698 2.538030 4.724260 9.306306 19.147417 40.443098 93.436888
2025-09-21 1.298407 2.435128 4.606007 9.243436 19.422993 41.994571 99.789247
2025-09-28 1.223572 2.327512 4.469911 9.130139 19.574514 43.279659 105.664576
2025-10-05 1.197802 2.314903 4.522224 9.422492 20.665438 46.866212 118.005980
2025-10-12 1.164367 2.284199 4.534896 9.628931 21.580244 50.143834 130.060084
2025-10-19 1.146809 2.284524 4.611480 9.984020 22.883037 54.530203 145.888223